I have seen the future, and it's SSD

On the Macworld show floor, I didn't really see one specific product that blew me away. What I did see, however, is the next big concept that's going to not only blow all of us away, but it will change the way we relate to our computers. It's the SSD (solid state drive) and it's almost ready for prime time. As we've mentioned before, an SSD is a high performance storage device that has no moving parts. These drives can contain DRAM or EEPROM memory, a CPU, a memory board and a battery card (more details here). Having no moving parts, they can move data much quicker than an HDD (hard disk drive) which uses quickly spinning platters with magnetic surfaces.
I got to play with what's being sold as the quickest SSD on the market, courtesy of Other World Computing. Their new Mercury Extreme Enterprise SSD drives start at US $229 for 50 GB and top out at 200 GB for $779.95. You can see our own Steve Sande in a video interview showing the boot time of this SSD vs. a stock 5400 rpm Apple drive. Watch for it at about 2:20 into the video. OWC set up a test of two Macbook Pros; I saw this demo myself and my jaw dropped as the SSD equipped laptop booted up and started running applications in 32 seconds. The HDD equipped Macbook Pro took at least three times as long to accomplish the same thing.
The computing experience is one of perception. How fast or slow your computer seems is based on more than the CPU speed alone. It's a composite of I/O speed, CPU speed and dozens of other factors. If you have a screamingly fast CPU with a poky drive, you have a poky computer as the chain is only as good as its weakest link. I've found, on my i7 iMac, that no matter what I do, I usually can't use up all the CPU speed, so the slowness may be due to the HDD not being able to keep up.
The current and future classes of SSDs are going to change all that. I can imagine sitting down, booting up and before I can lift my coffee cup, the computer has come up and is running startup programs. This will take some getting used to, since it will change my and everyone's work flow somewhat. Instead of all the little interruptions you get from waiting for something to happen, the response will be nearly instantaneous. This will tend to keep me more focused since I'm a procrastinator by nature, and get distracted quickly, like whenever I see a spinning beach ball. If a computer works as quickly as I feel it should work, I will be more engaged.
Previous releases of SSDs got a lot of bad press for running down your battery, losing speed over their lifetime, having low capacity, and being incredibly expensive. I haven't seen any battery tests for the OWC SSD drive, but the company advertises that the drive uses Advanced Wear Management, so that performance will not degrade over time, and they guarantee it over the five year life of the drive.
The other factor is price. The 200 GB version at $779 is very expensive when compared to under $100 for a 250 GB HDD. Until there is some sort of price parity, even at a slight premium, SSDs will sell to a niche market.
The last concern is capacity. Not long ago, the largest SSD you could buy was a 32 GB drive. Now Apple is selling them as stock items on the higher-end MacBook Air, and as a build to order option on the MBP (a 256 GB SSD adds $800 to the cost). I wonder how many of the $800 SSDs have been sold? I'm guessing it's a pretty small number.
So when will the stars align to the point that capacity, reliability, and price converge at a level that consumers will buy in a big way? I spent some time with people from both OWC and Drivesavers and separately asked reps exactly the same question: How long do you think it will take before large capacity (500 GB) SSD drives will be available at a price point that would be attractive to the average computer user? I got exactly the same response from both company reps: under two years. I expected much longer. If that pans out, I can see HDDs being slowly phased out in three to four years; eventually the HDD will go the way of the Betamax, Laserdisc, floppy disk, and sooner than you think, the DVD. I've bought and retired all of those technologies. I've seen this before.
I started with an Apple ][+ and a tape drive in the late 70s. A bit later the Disk ][ was introduced by Apple, giving me 143 KB of storage for $595, more capacity than I thought I'd ever need in my life or the life of my children. It added a massive speed increase to my computing experience. Some years later, I went for the big bucks and spent $1395 on a First Class Peripherals D9, which was a 90 MB HDD with streaming tape backup built in. Even being the slowest drive on the planet, at least in today's terms, my computing speed at least tripled. As HDDs got quicker and cheaper (and I did buy a hard-drive equipped Mac SE/30 somewhere in there) the perception of speed tripled again. Nothing that dramatic has happened in at least a decade, but the next big change is nearly upon us. In fact, it's here for the well heeled and the MacBook Air buyer, but about two years away for the rest of us.
This is going to be big.
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Source: http://www.macsales.com/
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On the Macworld show floor, I didn't really see one specific product that blew me away. What I did see, however, is the next big concept...
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Well, I agree and disagree.
First, I disagree "This will take some getting used to". No - but I agree that it will be really nice!
My first PC (not mac) took ca 2 seconds to boot. And that was 26 years ago. The boot time since then have been getting longer and longer. At work it is horrible - between 5 to 20 minutes (windows, traditional disks) - at home close to 32 seconds - but with traditional disks and Linux.
Anyway, SSD are going to be mainstream soon. In my case, it is not boot time, but I/O for virtual environment, my 1/4 million photos from events - that I like to look through, plus a lot more.
And the price will fall. Of course.
I have an Intel 80GB SSD (gen 1) in my 2007 Macbook (black/4GB ram) and it screams! Boots average 11 seconds, loading a few apps & auto login. Almost every app launches instantly. Been using it for 7 months. Why is this news now?
March 05 2010 at 12:28 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI think it's news because at this point you are an exception. Only a tiny fraction of computer users currently have an SSD. The point of the post was that in less time than I thought possible, having an SSD is going to be the norm. And as you well know, it completely changes your computing experience.
March 05 2010 at 1:34 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyThis is the future.
Looking for micro soldering pros
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'faster booting' - err what is this 'booting'. Is it the thing I do a few times a year where the machine beeps and whirrs for a moment before coming back to life?
SSDs are *not* the future - except possibly the short term future. While there are still machines with these silly restricted tubes between the main memory and the big memory, hard discs are acceptable and SSDs are (to an extent) better. The *real* future is to forget the entire model of 'disk' and just put the non-volatile memory on the main bus. WIth 64bit OS support now commonplace, there really isn't any point at all in sequestering some memory away at the end of a slow pipe. I suppose a lot of legacy code support would be needed to pretend that those quaint 'file' things exist for a while but really - a simple large database that lives in a few TB of NVRAM sitting on your address and data busses would be so much better. Think how much simpler memory-mapping a 'file' would become! Consider how much space could be saved by not having this nonsense of minimum file allocation blocks. It should be cheaper too; no need to wrap your flash in a box to pretend it is a disc. No need for a disc adaptor. Lighter . Quieter.
And no you can't patent it, because I just disclosed it in a public forum.
I'm in the "too small, too pricey" camp. No doubt current SSDs are sweet, but unlike a lot of people commenting here apparently, my primary computer is a laptop because I have to take my work to my customers all the time.
I don't care how fast it is, or if I can load the OS and Photoshop and an entire client presentation in inDesign in under 40 seconds; if I have to lug around an external HDD to store my stuff on then what's the point? I'm having a hard time living with the 500GB 7200RPM drive (aftermarket mod) I have now and it's not because it's not fast enough.
I give it a couple more years, when we're seeing 500GB+ SSDs for under $500 then I'll bite. It's only going to get cheaper, faster and with larger storage capacity. I can wait.
I've had 3 SSDs in laptops.
A Runcore 32Gb in a Dell Vostro A90, hackintosh. It made the little thing usable, and scored a Disk Test result of 61 on XBench 1.3.
I also had a Transcend 64GB in an old TiPB 1Ghz, which gave it some added life, and scored around 80 on XBench.
My latest SSD is an Intel X25-V, 40GB. It's by far the best. Makes my 2007 Macbook boot in just 25 secs, where it used to boot in 65 secs. It scores 137 on XBench.
I'm thinking of getting one for my MBA.
I have a 13" MBP clocked at 2.53 GHz with 4GB of RAM and with Snow Leopard, my machine starts up WAY faster with its hard drive than the machine used in the video. The only thing that would prompt me to switch to a SSD would be if you hit the power button and the machine was ready to go instantly.
March 03 2010 at 3:52 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyThat's would be why your MBP came with a very easy and intuitive way to Sleep/Wake. It is also a bit faster than how Windows does it, even with the same hard disk.
March 03 2010 at 4:03 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down Reply"If you have a screamingly fast CPU with a poky drive, you have a poky computer as the chain is only as good as its weakest link."
I think this article might be misleading. If your HD is slow it doesn't really effect your ability to max out your CPU. It doesn't literally slow down your whole computer.
You are still likely to be able to encode a video at the exact same speed.
Having a slow HD only slows down your ability to access files on your HD. Anything that doesn't depend on access speed will run the same speed on your $999 SSD as it does on your $50 platter drive.
I am pondering getting a SSD drive for traveling. I will be on a bike, the drive will need to handle alot of bumpy road travel. Having a drive with no moving parts seems like a good idea. Any thoughts on using a SSD drive for a bike tour?
March 03 2010 at 12:06 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyIt would be perfect. I have an SSD-based Eee 901 netbook and routinely toss it across the room (to a couch - I do realize the case and screen aren't impervious to damage). I can throw it through the air, juggle it, play catch - and the laptop doesn't care - the only moving part in the whole thing is the fan.
Now for a regular computer, the bumps may have some impact on the internal DVD drive (moving parts, laser alignment, etc). But as for the hard drive, SSD's are completely impervious to movement. From my own sad experience, hard drives are not.
Head crashes are messy. Guess you should have gotten a model with a free fall sensor.
March 03 2010 at 2:21 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down Reply7% of all hard disks fail every year. Some of the failures are for what seems ridiculous (poor air quality in the region at the time the disk was manufactured). When a hard disk fails, your data is gone unless you have a backup. People wanted a cheap storage solution and so that is what they got. It is not a satisfactory one for me.
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