Can the Cloud replace the Finder?
Sachin Agarwal, cofounder and CEO of Posterous, and former Apple employee who worked on Final Cut Pro, thinks that the Finder is dead. I wouldn't break out the sackcloth and ashes (or the champagne, depending on your feelings towards the Finder) just yet.
He has two main points:
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We will no longer interact with applications or files on a desktop PC
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The central point of syncing your data will no longer be your PC, it will be MobileMe (the cloud)
Let's address his second point first: bwahahahahahaha. OK, I feel much better. As anyone who has used iDisk knows, iDisk is terrible in its current form. It's slow, it's easily corrupted, and it does not handle sync errors well.
I've been waiting for Apple to get MobileMe and especially iDisk in shape for years, and every year I ship off my $100 for MobileMe hoping that this will be the year. We are no closer to it than we were three years ago. Or five years ago. Sachin says that "the Finder hasn't been updated with anything sexy in years." That may be true, but the same thing can be said of Apple's use of "the cloud" through MobileMe.
Read on for more thoughts...
When I first used an iPod (after trying several other MP3 players), I said "Wow, someone finally got it right." When I first used an iPhone (after several years with a Treo), I said "Wow! This is incredible." When I first used an iPad (albeit far too briefly!) I said "Wow, this is fantastic."
My experience with MobileMe has led me to exclaim many times using a variety of words, but none of them are suitable for publication here. Do you know anyone who uses MobileMe and says "Wow, this is great!"? I don't. I know a whole lot of people who use MobileMe who say "Well, it works OK most of the time" or "I haven't had to 'nuke' everything and start all over again in a few months." In particular, iDisk is an embarrassment compared to something like Dropbox in terms of seamlessness and reliability.
Then there's the issue of storage space. If you pay for MobileMe you get 20GB of space for $100/year. If the Finder is going to die, Apple is going to have to make iDisk (or, hopefully, its much-better successor) mandatory for all its users. Are users going to foot the bill for this or is Apple going to eat the cost? My iMac has a 500GB drive, only 80GB of which is available. Am I going to have to dump a lot of content or is Apple going to host it all in the cloud? And before you say "streaming" let me suggest that it will be a cold day in Hell before people are willing to give up locally stored music for 100% streaming. Also, who is going to pay for the storage and streaming costs?
The cloud will not save us.
The idea of abstracting the file system from users may sound appealing to some. As Sachin mentions, this is how iPhone OS devices work right now, "Each application has its own sandbox of files and data." Which is great until you need to do something with that file. Having used both iWork.com and Google Documents, I don't see them replacing the need to email someone a file, have them make changes, and email it back any time soon.
Of course email has worked like this for a long time. I don't store any email on my computer, it's all in Gmail and I access it from my iPhone or MacBook or iMac or hopefully soon an iPad. But email is the exception. It's easy to get new information into email or out of email. It is also, for the most part, very small amounts of data.
Sachin imagines a world where all of your files exist in separate "packages" (much like the "All Mail" in Gmail) and you just access what you need through the tool that you need. That sounds great, assuming that you've never tried to launch iPhoto and had it fail to show you any pictures, or tried to launch the camera on the iPhone and have it immediately shut down again. Not to mention the fact that storing digital pictures is becoming a huge storage issue as well. Is Apple going to store all of my RAW images in the cloud too?
Predicting evolution is a difficult thing. I remember reading once that there was someone in the late 1800s (I think) who predicted that in 100 years people would no longer have a "pinky toe" because it served no real purpose.
The lack of a usable filesystem in iPad is already a big issue, perhaps the biggest issue faced by a number of people who are trying to use it for content creation and management. I'd be willing to bet that we will eventually see some sort of a "safe common area" where various applications can read/write to. And after that will come folders, because putting everything in one folder is not viable long-term. Don't believe me? Take all of the files in your Home folder on your Mac and put them on your Desktop without any folders. Or create "Saved Searches" for certain kinds of files, such as PDFs or images, and try using them exclusively for awhile. See for yourself if your exclamations are inspired by awe or anger.
The Desktop/Folders concept may be old, and it may even be outdated, but I think it will be with us at least for several more years. Apple may have killed the floppy drive without mercy, but only because there were other alternatives available which were clearly better such as CD-Rs or even USB drives. These alternatives worked mostly the same way, but had higher capacity and were cheap. Right now hard drives are cheap, with much higher capacities than anything you can easily replicate in "the cloud." I don't think we'll be rolling out a coffin for Finder anytime soon.
[via MacStories]
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Sachin Agarwal, cofounder and CEO of Posterous, and former Apple employee who worked on Final Cut Pro, thinks that the Finder is dead. I...
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Agreed. On all points. But, there's also a rumor floating around that MobileMe is about to become free as soon as certain facilities go operational."
Assuming the rumor is true and the new facilities will help alleviate the problems, it sounds like Steve is just trying to get out in front of some very big Apple announcements in a way that make him seem prescient.
Which is exactly what I would be trying to do if I was in his position.
That's still long way off from killing the finder, but I think there's more to this than you give him credit for.
Sorry, but I just don't see the day I trust my data solely to someone else's servers. Backing up or sharing data is one thing, but trusting everything to the cloud just isn't happening in my world. I WANT local control of my data, and for me that won't change.
As to Finder, I wouldn't miss it if I no longer needed it, but as things stand now, I use it dozens of times a day.
Over the years I've learned I never get the solution I want, so I'm not holding my breath... but...
What I'd like is a service that syncs everything I have on my home network with a copy on the cloud, both for backup and for cloud access. I basically want time machine and drop box rolled into one with an operating system that made moving between local and cloud totally seenless. Of course none of this would be necessary if my broadband at home/office was symetrical, but being 20/2 Mbps it becomes painful to try to access a file over my VPN when I'm remote.
The key, for me is that any computer that is on and commected to the computer should instant sync. For Any computer that is turned off or disconnected, other computers should see and access the cloud copy on demand. Like time machine the user should never have to explicitly sync, upload or publish the file to the cloud, it should just happen.
To make this all super fast you need a file system that only writes changes, not whole files, like databases, and independentty of the actual file type. As I understand it some files systems are already moving that direction.
Here. Here. Living 24:7 in the Cloud is a pipe dream. By the time the web is fast enough to support streaming our HD clips and RAW image files to us for editing in real time, we'll probably have evolved into half-cyborg mutants who surf the internet in our mind's eye. With no pinky toes.
May 06 2010 at 1:38 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI don't see the Finder going away. In fact, I see the opposite happening... the Finder swallowing everything. You know how Outlook is the place for your email, calendar, and contacts? The Finder will have all of those things and more. You won't have to open iCal, Mail, Address Book, Word, Excel, Preview.
Your basic applications will no longer be needed. AND all of your information will be available across the three or four computers (home desktop, personal laptop, work computer, and your smartphone) a la Dropbox.
If Apple shifts their resources from the iPad back to their Mac OS (with the aforementioned feature), they will take off and leave Google and Microsoft in the dust.
I find it interesting that so many pundits and industry leaders tell us out of one side of their mouth how it'll all be in the cloud very soon, then, out of the other side of their mouth, tell us (repeatedly) how we need to one day expect metered bit counts -- and that doesn't even consider net-neutrality issues ("Hey... Comcast here. You're going to have to purchase the $129 "Cloud Tier Package" if you want to access your iDisk").
The only thing one can safely predict is that people "in the know" will make stupid predictions. Like this one.
REPEAT REPEAT REPEAT
ABORT ABORT ABORT
I am NOT arguing for cloud computing, only storage!!! Please at least read my original post before jumping to conclusions
http://sachin.posterous.com/the-finder-is-dead-soon-a-pc-wont-have-files
I think that future cloud computing is inevitable. Technology will advance as it always does, and the issues we now face, like file security, speed, and reliability will soon be fixed. As it does so, cloud computing will make more and more sense to a lot of people. For right now, it's in preliminary stages for both industry IT and personal uses. The cloud, with help from Apples power and influence over the general public, will soon change the way computing is done.
May 05 2010 at 6:35 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyJust because Mobile Me and iDisk is a disaster doesn't mean the cloud can't be your master repository for files.
Look at Dropbox.com. They have basically nailed cloud storage for consumers. I know people who keep their entire photo and music libraries on Dropbox, which allows they to access everything from any of their computers and on the web.
Online storage space *will* increase. Having 500GB online will not be an issue in a couple years. We will *not* be streaming, we will be syncing.
The post author says he loves the experience of his iPod and his iPad, yet he can't see how a similar move for the desktop would result in a much better experience as well.
I just saw this post now. So much to respond to :)
"I don't see them replacing the need to email someone a file, have them make changes, and email it back any time soon." - Actually, you will just collaborate on the file online. Emailing back and forth sucks. There is no version control. What if two people make changes at the same time? Online editing by multiple people in Google Docs is great.
"It's easy to get new information into email or out of email" I have no idea what this even means. It's just data, whether it's email, photos, or video
"That sounds great, assuming that you've never tried to launch iPhoto and had it fail to show you any pictures, or tried to launch the camera on the iPhone and have it immediately shut down again" - Again, no clue what this means. These sound like bugs that need to be fixed, not issues that would prohibit a move to cloud storage
"The lack of a usable filesystem in iPad is already a big issue" Really? I haven't found it to be. Apple will create a way to move "data" between apps, but it won't be about dragging files in a Finder.
"The Desktop/Folders concept may be old, and it may even be outdated, but I think it will be with us at least for several more years" - Not sure how this post author went from trying to dispute my post, to basically agreeing with me. I never said this would happen overnight. But it will happen
"I don't think cloud computing will take off the way some people think it will" - I'm not arguing for cloud computing, just cloud storage and sync
"I'm not going to edit a 30 GB video file over the internet" - Not saying you should. Everything should be local on your machine. Changes should sync up to the cloud and down to other machines, but you're always manipulating local files.
Guys, i'm a huge Apple fanboy today. But lets not think Mobile Me is the front runner in cloud storage and cloud computing. That service is quite poor and will not lead the way to a better future.
But we've all seen how the iPod, iPhone, and iPad have changed how we work with data. Even apps like iTunes and iPhoto prove my point: your files are hidden in a library file, and you only interact with them within the app.
and thus guy thinks Gmail is a better option over mobile me, Now I know why he was thrown out of Apple ..... or may be he never worked there lol....... Lier
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