The costly gamble of designing iOS cases based on rumors

Bloomberg's Businessweek has a nice writeup on one of the shadier practices around a new Apple launch like the iPhone 4S this week: case manufacturers building their entire product lines off of leaked or sometimes illicitly obtained information. Businessweek profiles Tim Hickman of Hard Candy Cases (who's been forthcoming with us here at TUAW in the past about how he manufactures cases to be ready for new Apple products as soon as possible), and talks about how he and other manufacturers often build cases on leaked or incomplete information, always hoping to be the first to market to go around the latest and greatest iPhone.
Hickman is probably the most open about this practice (for better or worse -- someone in the article suggests his investors should be "nervous") but I've seen lots of other companies do this, even if specifics about it are off the record. As Hickman says in the article, Apple frowns on the practice, and Apple's blessing is what lands case products on Apple Store shelves, so it's obvious why most companies wouldn't be all that forthcoming about it.
Still, in the competitive world of iPhone and iPad cases, every advantage counts, so these companies will build cases based on whatever information they can get. Gambling even as much as $50,000, which Hickman says he spent on cases for what he hoped would be a thinner iPhone 4S (all wasted when the exterior design turned out to be the same as the iPhone 4), can be worth it, whether in terms of future research or early profit when the guesses are right.
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Bloomberg's Businessweek has a nice writeup on one of the shadier practices around a new Apple launch like the iPhone 4S this week:...
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So, how 'bout a poll to see what's the favorite 4/4S case? I need one for my new 4S, and I'm overwhelmed by the choices.
October 15 2011 at 10:54 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyThe Speck CandyShell and the Incase Slider are the best out there
October 20 2011 at 9:09 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down Replyprobably has a lot to do with what kind of case as well. doubt element case (CNC aluminum) would take a gamble, but a cheap plastic or silicone rubber case CANT be that expensive. all you need is new molds and raw materials, the machines you use to make them are already paid for. they don't have to buy new machines for case1 vs case2 all they do is cut new molds (and those can probably be made relatively cheap as well since they're reusable - make more than one case per mold)
then look at the return. a couple bucks per unit pays from raw materials to retail and they sell for 20-30 bucks. thousand percent markup.
PLUS even if you lose the bet, you can probably recycle the rubber or plastic. so you get most of your raw materials back minus solvent for rubber or heat for the plastic.
It would be interesting to know the results of a non-failed experiment, like the ipad 2 cases which where produced the same way, a while before launch of the ipad 2.
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