Apple may finally join the 200-megapixel camera race, but not anytime soon. According to a new analysis from Morgan Stanley, the first iPhone with a 200MP camera could arrive in 2028. That timeline points to the iPhone 21, not the iPhone 18 as many earlier predictions suggested.
For now, Apple appears focused on refining its current camera systems rather than rushing to higher megapixel counts. Analysts believe Apple prefers measured upgrades that balance image quality, performance, and supply stability.
Pro Models Likely to Lead the Shift
When the change does arrive, Pro iPhone models are expected to get the new sensor first. Apple typically introduces major camera upgrades on its premium devices. This approach allows the company to test new technology before expanding it across the full lineup.
Moreover, the report suggests Apple will use Samsung’s 200MP camera sensors. Samsung already deploys similar sensors in its high-end Galaxy phones. As a result, Apple could close the megapixel gap while keeping its signature image processing strengths.
Supply Chain Strategy Drives the Delay
The delay is not only about technology. Instead, supply chain strategy plays a key role. Morgan Stanley notes that Apple wants to avoid relying on a single supplier. By 2028, Apple expects to diversify its camera supply chain to reduce risk and control costs.
In addition, some reports suggest Samsung could manufacture camera components in its Texas facility. That move would support Apple’s broader goal of increasing U.S.-based component production.
More Changes Coming Before 2028
While 200MP cameras remain years away, other upgrades could arrive sooner. Analysts predict under-display Face ID could debut in 2027, marking the iPhone’s 20th anniversary. However, Apple is expected to keep its current Face ID supplier despite this change.
Meanwhile, Apple reportedly plans to absorb rising component costs rather than raise iPhone prices. In recent years, the company has offset cost pressures by increasing storage instead of boosting prices.
What This Means for iPhone Users
For everyday users, this news signals patience rather than disappointment. Apple’s approach suggests it values consistent photo quality over headline-grabbing specs. Therefore, when a 200MP iPhone finally launches, it will likely deliver more than just bigger numbers.
