Dvorak says Microsoft is dead in the water

"Hi. My name is John C. Dvorak... I write speculative articles on technology."

"Wow! THE John C. Dvorak?"

"Yep!"

"Cool... hey, are you ever right?"

*Shrugs*

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-Pie

Have you guys given any thought to this guy just making up wild theories so he gets attention?

That's just his style...

1. Pen something provocative, poorly thought out, and/or total BS.
2. Watch as massive amounts of web traffic, inbound links, magazines fly off the shelf.
3. PROFIT!

By the way, PoS, I wouldn't stop listening to TWiT just because you don't agree with what Dvorak says. The others seem to have his number and can often be heard good-humoredly mocking him. Where do you think the whole "gets NO spam!" tag came from?!

microsoft, dead in the water? I guess that depends on your definition of dead in the water. In terms of Silicon Valley, dead in the water means your stock drops down more than 50% and you have to lay off half (or more) of your employees. That hasn't happened to microsoft yet. They have never been innovative and they've always been about making a ton of money. So what has changed? Nothing. So, we all like to poke fun at microsoft and for good reason, but Dvorak is just as full of dew-dew now as he has been. I truly believe he throws crap out there just to raise the ire of his target group (in this case MS desciples) just to be controversial and raise his readership.

I for one, am not going to bite, I don't visit his site or any site he writes for and I don't listen to the TWiT podcast in large part because I'm not interested in anything he has to say.

I normally don't agree with Dvorak, but he's got this one right.

hmmm

"The Macintosh uses an experimental pointing device called a 'mouse.' There is no evidence that people want to use these things."
John C. Dvorak, San Francisco Examiner, 19-02-1984

I have news for him... Microsoft has *never* been innovative. Virtually everything interesting to come out of there, from MS-DOS on up, has been acquired from someone else's hard work. There may be a few exceptions to this (although I'm hard pressed to come up with any), but that's the rule. Acquire, improve, ship, repeat. Nothing about "innovate" in that formula.

Do they still make Expedia?

To paraphrase Emo Phillips - John Dvorak is schizoid...he's good people.

He'll be back on Microsoft's bandwagon tomorrow.

Hold on. You say, "Too many businesses and users depend on it, so gone is the opportunity to try something new and exciting." If that's really the case, then isn't Apple dead in the same pool of water once its market share climbs above x%? Won't it fall prey to the same necessary stagnation? Surely not. The issue isn't that Microsoft's market share is too big but that its imagination is too small. With enough imagination surely Redmond could crank out stable "professional" OS'es and more creative (if a bit more disruptive) iterations of its consumer OS? Then the consumer OS could become a bit of a test bed, with features moved into the enterprise OS once they've been tested enough in the consumer world?

This guy's an ass - I'm so tired of him. Dvorak is all about marketing himself and this prooves it. He doesn't seem to have (or publish) an oppinion of his own, only what he thinks will make the headlines and provide the most hits on his site.