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iPhone anticipation continues to shake up cell market

We've already heard from some of the usual suspects on the "iPhone drag effect" that may be impacting sales and phone upgrades in advance of the June arrival of the iPhone; customers who would ordinarily be snapping up new smartphones and renewing two-year service agreements seem to be hedging.

Now, courtesy of the Seeking Alpha stock blog, we have more data on the presales impact of the iPhone: a survey of potential early adopters in the ChangeWave Alliance research network reveals some dramatic shifts in attitudes. Both Motorola and Nokia lose ground on likely purchasers, and those likely to switch carriers are saying Cingular/AT&T more often than they say Verizon, a first in the CA survey. The article suggests that this "striking impact" on carrier and handset businesses "rocks the cellphone industry." Meanwhile, another analyst report on SA anticipates iPhone sales of 17 million units in fiscal 2008 and up to 25 million in 2009. Ye gads.

I'm starting to wonder if the most sophisticated technology in the iPhone isn't the multitouch screen or the visual voicemail -- maybe it's the North America-wide expansion of the RDF.

via Apple Hot News

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iPhone

We've already heard from some of the usual suspects on the "iPhone drag effect" that may be impacting sales and phone upgrades in advance...
 

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Tim Ryan

For me, I just want a phone that will have 8 gigs of music, push email (preferably exchange and imap), a slim form factor and somewhat easy to type on interface. I worry mostly on the typing...why can't they make force feedback lcd's already?

May 08 2007 at 9:51 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
R Muffet

It'll all end in tears...

Hello, Newton survivor here.

If there is a flaw somewhere in the product, such as the text entry (Ihknato likes it, Pogue has his doubts), then it will be a hard obstacle to get around. And if it happens to get a comic strip lampooning it, the party's over.

But I'll still be buying one. (After all, I bought 3 Newtons!)

May 08 2007 at 9:09 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Pete

well consider me one of the many waiting to see how the iphone pans out. my contract w/ cingular was up at the end feb. and i haven't renewed yet. most likely at the end of june.

May 08 2007 at 6:01 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
paul

Maybe everyone's waiting for the Helio Ocean to be released instead.

May 08 2007 at 5:40 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Billy K

So true! The greatest effect of the iPod and soon-to-be iPhone boom is glorious RDF for everyone! Nationwide! Worldwide! Why should only those who own Macs get to experience the joy?

Reality Distortion Field - When Kool-Aid Just Isn't Strong Enough.â„¢

(P.S. Lifelong Apple lover here. I'm joking; not trolling.)

May 08 2007 at 5:18 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gene

Gee, what does this precipitous drop in phone sales ahead of iPhone tell all those "iPhone will be a flop" doomsayers?

May 08 2007 at 4:55 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
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