iPad's multifunction appeal and sub-$500 price point a formula for disruptive technology

T minus a little over a month and a half until retail liftoff of the Apple iPad and, similar to the launch of the iPhone 3 years ago, the device is not without its share of criticism -- be it the lack of support for multitasking or the missing front facing camera (or any camera, for that matter). However, it's unlikely that anything short of a sub-$1,000 multitouch cancer-curing device could have lived up to expectations, for the hype coming into the keynote was of epic proportions.
Expectations aside, however, the iPad's price point and feature set put Apple in a position to disrupt the low-end notebook computer market, while also providing it a foot in the door in the eBook market as well as traditional print media.
Though multipurpose in functionality, the iPad will likely find its largest appeal in the low-end notebook computing space, primarily the sub-11 inch variants dubbed "netbooks." As implied in the nomenclature, netbooks place less of a focus on raw computing horsepower and instead aim toward providing an extremely portable and affordable means to surf the net. While the ultra-compact form factor of netbooks makes them extremely portable, it brings compromises -- namely cramped keyboards that, unless you're an Oompa Loompa or haven't yet reached middle school, are difficult to type on. While the iPad lacks a built-in physical keyboard (it's an optional accessory), its multitouch-enabled 9.7 inch LED display provides a clearly differentiated and, on initial impression, a superior web browsing experience.
While still priced at a premium over most netbooks, the iPad's $499 opening price point places it in the pricing pantheon of affordable computing, as crossing this sub-$500 psychological purchasing barrier increases its attractiveness in competing for the mindshare of consumers considering a netbook.
With the iPad, Apple is also looking to make inroads into the eBook reader market, where it will be joining Amazon and Sony, two of that market's bigger players. Unlike the iPad, Amazon's Kindle and the Sony Reader offer a "book-like" experience through e-ink technology -- in contrast to the LED-backlit screen of the iPad. Despite the virtues of e-ink and carrying hundreds of books with you, eBook readers haven't yet hit mainstream status, in spite of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos' claim of selling "millions" of Kindles.
While the reading experience on the iPad -- most notably eye strain and battery life -- has yet to be thoroughly fleshed out, the device's other features will help mask whatever e-reading deficiencies it has against existing e-ink based offerings. Thus, whatever inroads the iPad makes within the eBook reader market will likely be paved by its other virtues.
Although the potential addressable market for a dedicated eBook reader is likely much smaller than those considering a notebook computer, the iPad's $499 opening price point also produces a purchasing conundrum for the former. At $499, the device is priced within reach of the Kindle DX's $489 price tag, while also providing the ancillary benefits of a multitouch portable computing platform.
Such an approach may be the best way to grow the eBook category mainstream, and is in line with Apple thinking. At Apple's September 2009 special event, Steve Jobs noted that while "there will always be dedicated devices, and [that] they may have a few advantages in doing just one thing...general-purpose devices will win the day because...people just probably aren't willing to pay for a dedicated device." And while the iPad lacks an e-ink based screen, its color LED-backlit multitouch display could provide consumers with new ways to consume traditional media (newspapers, magazines, etc.) and traditional media companies new avenues for revenues.
But at the end of the day, the Apple iPad is a computer and, as such, could possibly serve as a substitute for a MacBook or MacBook Pro purchase for some consumers. For many, computing could boil down to surfing the web (i.e., "checking my Facebook"), email, and basic productivity apps, such as word processing and spreadsheets.
However, the slightest footstep outside of this sandbox demands more, be it a video editor demanding more processing power to render and store h.264 videos or a college student who needs a torrent or P2P client and codec support to play DivX videos. Add to this formula the iPad's lack of support for multitasking as well as its smaller screen display, and the potential for cannibalization is likely marginal.
Yes, many may have found the iPad announcement underwhelming. But expectations aside, the device is a misfit with its cross category functional appeal. And it's these misfit ways that, coupled with a competitive opening price point, arm it with great potential to disrupt multiple categories and serve as another avenue to drive growth for Apple.
*Median price of Netbook based on top 15 best selling models at Bestbuy.com.
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Source: http://www.apple.com/ipad/
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T minus a little over a month and a half until retail liftoff of the Apple iPad and, similar to the launch of the iPhone 3 years ago, the...
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The iPad will never replace my Dell Mini 10v running osx leopard that only cost me $245.00. Plus, it came with 3 usb ports, 160gb hdd, 2 gb ram, wifi, bluetooth, an SD reader & I can even install a cellular card if I want. As it's running leopard I get a full browser (firefox) that supports flash for when my kids want to visit Disney or numerous other kid sites that require flash, openoffice, appzapper, clamxav & numerous other apps that you'll never have access to from the app store. Finally, it's red which is a color you'll never see Apple offer (yea, I'm rubbing it in now)
February 02 2010 at 12:37 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI guess techno geeks and nerds are doing what they do. Nitpick everything.
Gotta hack this and jailbreak that. This is too little that is too much.
My netbook this, blah blah blah.
The iPad is a revolutionary device. It is the future of computing. In the not too distant future, you will see iPads wherever you go and fewer and fewer netbooks and laptops. The apps available for the iPad will make it rock.
Fortunately, you naysayers are not the ones making decisions at Apple.
My bet is on Apple. I will be getting an iPad and expect to use it more than my desktop. It may even be my landline and much more.
Clear the runway, the iPad is about to take off.
You can be on board or not it's your choice.
No x-axis? Seriously??? You do realize a bar graph would have made alot more sense here...
February 01 2010 at 1:12 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyGod forbid I should ever want to COPY A FILE or use a USB stick.... cause it's an ADVANCED FEATURE, you guys have been completely brain washed by Apple, and let me tell you something, pretty and stupid may (sometimes) work for blonds, never for computers.
I say Apple can iShove it, I don't need another device that I have to jailbreak to get to the basic functionality.
Why do you assume you cant do this?
It would be REALLY STUPID of Apple to not design a way to put files onto the thing, or take them off, without having to use iTunes for example...would it not?
Apple would NEVER engineer a solution for such a problem that is simple and doesnt require a lot of fiddling around....because Apple only makes things that score GeekPointsâ¢...right? ;)
I think people are really, really selling Apple short here...many of whom should know better.
You should take it as read that getting files onto and off of the device is not going to be a problem.
-K
can you say Truly Personal Computer ? come on try and repeat that a couple times, low price , plus a app for everything guarantees the ipad to be the next big thing since the PC, i say it's gonna sell 50 million pieces/year http://blog.vladalexa.com/2010/01/31/ipad-the-truly-personal-computer/
February 01 2010 at 10:50 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI think part of the relative amazement with the starting price point is due to the expectation that it'd be much higher (thanks to that "around $1k" rumor), but it still doesn't justify a couple of puzzling decisions Apple made in hope the iPad wouldn't cripple Macbook sales, and I even doubt iPod Touch sales are in much danger at this point because the two devices are used in different settings.
I don't know about you guys, but when I saw Stephen Colbert on stage at the Grammys holding it up, it didn't look cool at all, the size of it made it looked impractical and definitely not something you'd carry around with you. It's a device meant to be used at home when sitting on the couch, and this is why I don't understand its purpose given we have computers and net-enabled PVRs and game consoles.
However, I don't think the iPad is complete trash either, I think it just needs a few more tweaks and a slightly lower price point to be a really attractive product.
None of us know-it-alls posting here have the kind of demographic and marketing information that Apple has amassed after years of selling iPods, iPhones and Macbooks. Any predictions we make based on anecdotal, idiosyncratic evidence about what we want on a tablet, or what we think most people want in a tablet, is the closest thing to garbage without being garbage that any person can say.
So I think I'll put more faith on Apple's choice of the perfect iPad feature set over anyone else's choice.
aard:
Out of all of the comments and replies I have read over the last several days, plus...other knowledge I have...I must congratulate you for being the closest to correct in assessing the situation :)
A Breakdown:
Apple has been selling `limited` multi-touch devices with a purpose-built OS for years...as well as portable computers.
Most people do NOT have any idea whatsoever what is going on in iPhone OS 3.2. Those that have a better idea or have had are under NDA so as per usual, you wont know until you can know.
Suffice it to say that the `glaring omissions` and `missteps` are neither...if you base this on the observable data.
One of the most incredible things about the iPhone and iPod touch is how much usability 3rd party ISVs have jammed into that tiny chunk of RAM on that cramped screen with the so-so cpu etc.
The fact that people seem convinced that the iPad would not be able to *do more* with *more* is very, very curious to me.
I will say this; Apple is choosing seemingly to under-market the capabilities of the device and the new version of the OS that it runs presumably because Regular People just wont *care* about the fact that it can and does do [this] and [that] out of the box.
They seem to get it. Geeks and nerds do not. :)
-K
I DON'T have an iPod Touch.
I DO have an iPhone 3GS.
I WILL get shot of my Sony PRS-505
I WILL be buying the 64GB 3G iPad (hopefully the first day it appears in my local Apple store)
Wow, you guys are finally starting to get it. Only took a week and the business case is starting to become clearer - I'm impressed.
February 01 2010 at 9:59 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI think the iPad will hit big with people that aren't very familiar with using a traditional computer. My mother got a netbook for Christmas and more often than not I'm answering questions on how to do things. It's her first computer ever so while I understand there's somewhat of a learning curve I may buy her an iPad because of its simplicity. There's a huge market of people just like that; look at all the people that never bought a console before buying a Wii.
I personally would buy one just because I find it annoying to use a laptop anywhere but a desk, essentially defeating the purpose of a laptop, haha.
I completely agree on the intuitive handling part. The only issue I have is that the iPad can not really work as the only machine for a household. You will always need a descent PC to sync it with (and you actually want to take backup copies of your purchases or at least update the OS every once in a while).
T.
I agree with you. Apple products suit best those who have never used a computer/smartphone/mp3 players/tablet etc. before. Apple device tend to make things simple so anyone can use it. But unfortunatelly, they lack a lot of features that we can find in other devices. And for those who are used to those features, it's certainly hard to call an apple device "best smartphone/computer/mp3 player/tablet/gaming system" like Steve wants us to believe.
Decent product, basic features, nice, Cheap and "cool" package, heavy marketing driven by one or 2 new "old tricks" (multitouch, accelerometer, magnetometer, video camera, copy and paste, mms...), high price tag. That's an apple device.
Sub-$500 price? I see you and I lower you to 399 (or even 299)
http://www.alwaysinnovating.com/touchbook/
Competition to the iPad won't come from simple netbooks but either from pc tablets at same or a bit lower price (but with all the tech specs Apple leaves out) or from netbooks/laptops with autonomous detachable screens.
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