Don't trust the critics: Four Apple products they thought would fail
Ever since the iPad's introduction a month and a half ago, the internet has been awash in criticism of the as-yet-unreleased device. "It's just a big iPod touch," many have said. "No Flash, no multitasking, no sale," others bemoaned. And a few have gone so far as to say, "It doesn't do a lot of things that a netbook that costs half as much will do." For these reasons and many more, many of the pundits and forum dwellers have but one prediction: the iPad is going to crash and burn.Don't you believe it, because the critics have been wrong before. Several times, actually, according to The Week, which provides a list of five Apple products the critics thought would fail. Out of those five, only one, the Newton, failed to find mainstream success. The other four were industry-defining products which went on to sell millions of units each.
What did the critics have to say about these four "failed" Apple products when they first debuted, and which products were they? Click "Read More" to find out.
1. The Mac
It seems absurd now, but there was a time when some critics thought the Mac would be a complete failure. They considered the mouse-driven interface "Useless." Ponder that one for a bit. "Awkward," "Not easy to learn," and of course, "Costs too much" were other 1984-era complaints leveled at Apple's latest creation. These critics were used to the keyboard-driven interface of DOS-running PCs, and from the sounds of things, they considered the Mac, with its graphic user interface and "awkward" mouse, to be nothing more than an overpriced novelty, doomed to fail.
I hardly need to tell you what happened next. The original Macintosh completely revolutionized the computer industry. Within only a short time, companies like Microsoft scrambled to duplicate the GUI/mouse combo the Mac brought to the market. Today, nearly every desktop, notebook, and netbook out there runs a GUI/mouse interface. And 26 years after the first Macintosh debuted, Apple still sells Macs by the millions every year. I wish I could fail half as hard as that.
2. The iMac
"No floppy drive?!?" was the echoing cry among the tech world in 1998. Add to that the iMac's hermetically-sealed case and not particularly upgrade-friendly components, and once again, tech critics and build-it-yourself users who had been used to beige towers predicted the iMac would never catch on. Instead, the iMac sold like crazy and almost instantaneously doubled Apple's PC marketshare. Twelve years later, the iMac is still Apple's best-selling desktop, and it shows no signs of going anywhere anytime soon... unlike those floppy disks everyone once thought were so crucial.
3. The iPod
One of the greatest things about the internet is that in a way, it's the closest any of us will get to time travel. Let's go back to October 23, 2001, and get Slashdot's now-famous opinion of the just-announced iPod: "No wireless. Less space than a Nomad. Lame."
The comments that follow are even better. "I don't see many sales in the future of iPod." "All I can say is, as an Apple 'fan', I'm sad." But don't just take Slashdot's word for it. The forum folks at MacRumors had some true gems too: "Great just what the world needs, another freaking MP3 player." "I still can't believe this! All this hype for something so ridiculous! Who cares about an MP3 player?" "'I'd call it the Cube 2.0 as it wont sell, and be killed off in a short time...and it's not really functional." "The Reality Distiortion Field™ is starting to warp Steve's mind if he thinks for one second that this thing is gonna take off." "Not exactly 'revolutionary'. " "The real money is in DRM and distribution (ala Real Musicnet). If Apple were smart they would be focusing on high gross revenue from services rather than a playback device." "It is by no means revolutionary or groundbreaking. It is an MP3 player. BFD. It is just a step in the evolution of an MP3 player [...] Think different is dead."
It goes on like that, for pages and pages. And this is at a site full of Apple fans, the majority of whom were unimpressed with the iPod at best and thought it was Apple's death knell at worst. People who weren't great fans of Apple at the time, like the guys behind Penny Arcade, had even harsher things to say about the iPod, even two years after its release (not safe for work language -- it is Penny Arcade, after all). Over nine years later, where are we? Over a quarter of a billion iPods have been sold since then, and it's largely due to the iPod's momentum that Apple has become the phenomenal success it is today.
4. The iPhone
For the first half of 2007, before the iPhone actually hit stores, people either thought it was the greatest innovation of the past ten years (at least) or an overpriced, overhyped device that lacked features common to many other phones. Of course, there was no lack of punditry from those who thought the iPhone was doomed, and Apple right along with it. Tech critic John Dvorak said of the iPhone, "I'd advise people to cover their eyes. You are not going to like what you'll see." A former CEO of Palm said, "We've learned and struggled for a few years here figuring out how to make a decent phone. PC guys are not going to just figure this out. They're not going to just walk in." And who could forget Steve Ballmer of Microsoft, perhaps the best-remembered critic of the iPhone: "There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance." Ballmer claimed Apple would be lucky to get 2-3% cellphone marketshare.
Over 42 million iPhones later, Apple has become the largest mobile device company in the world. And whether you agree that HTC and other phone manufacturers have violated Apple's patents or not, the influence the iPhone has had on the smartphone industry is undeniable. Before June of 2007, almost all smartphones looked like clones of the Blackberry. Less than three years later, an awful lot of smartphones now look like clones of the iPhone instead.
With these four products, Apple drove the evolution of three industries: PCs, portable media players, and smartphones. All four products were smashing successes despite all the doom and gloom from both professional and armchair tech critics. Now, with the introduction of the iPad, Apple is aiming at a new industry: ultraportable computers. For the past month and a half, at least half of everyone paying attention to the iPad has laughed at it, pointed out its shortcomings, and predicted its failure. My prediction? A year from now, we're going to have a very long list of misguided iPad quotes to point and laugh at.
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Ever since the iPad's introduction a month and a half ago, the internet has been awash in criticism of the as-yet-unreleased device....
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I think the next iteration of the macbook with have a touch screen keyboard instead of a physical keyboard, similar to the Ipad keyboard.
March 16 2010 at 10:50 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI think the iPad is Apple's answer to the cheap, sub-$500 Windows PC.
This is going to be huge. You may not realize it now, but keep waiting, because this is the end of Old World computing and the start of something revolutionary.
To all the haters: Stop nitpicking at the minor inconveniences and look at the grand scheme of things.
That's my two cents.
i'm going to say this: i don't have a need for an ipad. i own an iphone and a brand new macbook, which is lighter than my original windows laptop. i'm still glad they don't have flash, because flash sucks on windows and mac.
i think it's going to work well, since you can also turn the ipad into a picture frame, or nurses can use it while doing their rounds, or for casual use. i do see it as an overgrown ipod/iphone touch, but it will be easier to see the screen and cheaper than the macbook
Out of your list, I would say only the iPod and iPhone have been overwhelming successes. The Mac and iMac have gained in popularity, but they still haven't dominated the market. I still don't understand why Apple consumers still have this inferiority complex and feel that they need prove critics wrong.
I support Apple way too much in terms of buying their products, but what's the point of this post? Will the author say "I told you so" if the iPad becomes a success?
I personally am not going to by an Ipad. I don't feel like it would make my life any better than it is with my iPhone, several laptops and MacMini. The problem with the iPad is will people already have a "need" for it?
Almost everyone listens to music and had Walkmen and the iPod took advantage of the young MP3 player market. Everyone has a phone and many had or were thinking about a smartphone, and the iPhone proved itself as the best. People need desktops/laptops, and Macs, iMacs, MBPs are good products so there will always be people who buy it.
But does everyone already have a iPad-like device (such as a Kindle, Tablet PC) that people would be on the fence about buying one would say, "Yeah, that's the one I would choose if I bought one, let's get it!"
My guess is that the iPad would need to convince people that they don't need to read physical books, stop buying netbooks, use their laptops less, not be satisfied with the email/browsing abilities of their iPhone/smartpones and spend $500 for this device.
Plus, although I buy Apple, I'm quite annoyed with how arrogant the Apple marketing campaign has been.
Yes. If (when) the iPad is a success, I or someone else here will indeed do an "I told you so" post.
March 14 2010 at 7:41 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyIronic that in that list of five, the one failure is the one Steve wasn't involved with,
March 12 2010 at 4:09 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down Reply'and of course, "Costs too much" were other 1984-era complaints leveled at Apple's latest creation.'
Not much has changed in that field over the last 25 years.
I think what this article is ignoring is that a lot of these products kind of WERE ridiculously overpriced and underpowered when they were first launch. It was only through multiple revisions that they became the game-changing devices they are today. While the initial appeal of the iPhone is undeniable (i got one), comparing the iPhone 2.5 to the iPhone 3GS is almost night and day. Apple listens to their critics and usually delivers. iPad 3.0 is going to be amazing, and I know this first model will have some shortcoming, but I'll be honest, I'm probably still going to get one anyway. Ha!
March 11 2010 at 2:34 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyNokia is still the biggest mobiles company in the world. Research, boys.
March 11 2010 at 12:54 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyActually, as the link in the article itself states, Apple is the biggest mobile company in the world -by revenue-. Reading comprehension FTW.
March 11 2010 at 3:41 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyHmm . . . didn't Apple have something called the Cube for a while? It's faded from memory, but I'm pretty sure it existed . . . and was there a Newton . . . I don't remember.
Seriously, Apple's successes have overwhelmed its failures, but there have been some hiccups on the way to superstardom.
As far as the iPad goes, it's way overhyped, and is intentionally designed so that you still NEED a desktop/laptop/iPhone. Why would Apple design something that made all its other products obsolete? It's a shame, really, that we have to go through this interim step -- yet another exercise in planned obsolescence -- when it's obviously technically feasible to create an iPad that you could use like a laptop (i.e., with the same memory and processing capacity) and as an iPhone too, with Flash, and a high-def camera, and all the other bells and whistles. That's clearly where the future is headed -- a one-stop product that does everything. Just go back and read some of Asimov's Foundation and you'll figure out all the new Apple products. In the meantime, though, the consumer (us) gets stuck with expensive platforms that will end up as useful as carbon paper 2 years from now.
are you willing to pay laptop money for something so small just to complain that the screen isn't big enough? For myself I don't need it to do every thing I just need to do what it needs to do
March 10 2010 at 9:13 PM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down ReplyI hope it is a big IPOD Touch.
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